Most of the prediction markets think Biden will be the nominee: Manifold: 86% Polymarket: 75% Predictit: 71% Metaculus: 90% (View Post)

There is quite a good article/video by Adam Curtis, arguing that MI5 are in fact a bit rubbish: https://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/adamcurtis/entries/3662a707-0af9-3149-963f-47bea720b460 (View Post)

Amazing. On the subject of gas, if your supplier ever offers to send a company called Lowri Beck round to do anything, refuse. They are incompetent. In my case they were supposed to be installing sma… (View Post)

Being likeable in person doesn't actually prevent someone from being a complete shit. All it means is that they are good at, and enjoy, making other people enjoy their presence. It doesn't mean that … (View Post)

There is a political temptation: if you can't work out how to do anything useful, at least be cruel because then you look "strong". Somehow, some voters believe that cruelty can make them s… (View Post)