Russia is at it around the borders of Ukraine again. The differences this time round is timing, its winter season, some of the units are very much of a go forward nature and where not involved earlie… (View Post)

There is no new fracture, it was already there but the basic security and defence relationships will continue. The French go their own way plenty and post war history tells you that. Sometimes they w… (View Post)

I think you will find that the Taiwanese looked at Hong Kong and pretty much worked out where its at with China and they are increasingly of the view thats not where they want to be. The Pan Blue mov… (View Post)

Something is gonna give regarding Chinese corporate and local government debt and the massively overindebted property market. Contrary to the notion that the CCP will just bail it all out, they proba… (View Post)

Independent SAGE are to a large extent a political front. (View Post)