Theyd likely need JCBs. Rumour has it that facilities have restricted entry due to surface bombing. In addition if the Iranians had all the stuff in one place theyd be as thick as two planks and Im n… (View Post)

I think there is a live possibility of some kind of break and, possibly, a ceasefire. Mediators are looking at getting Trump to stretch out his maybe it is, maybe it isnt, ultimatum and Trump would l… (View Post)

Some notes on Iran. The oil issue coming out of the Gulf can be dealt with with other supply chains (though will take time) but the gas less so China may well be critical to any agreement. The Irania… (View Post)

They do matter to a point if combined with other targets such as comms. The reality of most of the last couple of weeks or so is that the Iranians have had a major issues getting central control of t… (View Post)

I posted this on Thursday night 'The US may not do a tap about a surface escort corridor when it comes to the Straits of Hormuz, it may be left to the Gulf states and the Europeans, who, by the … (View Post)