Reform's polling is showing wild swings. Are they on 10% (Opinium) or 2% (Ipsos, 3 days earlier)? With such wide disparities I think panel self selection might have come into play so I would ten… (View Post)

There's a difference between making a respectable effort and making an all out effort to win. Labour will be doing the latter in Uxbridge, Selby and Rutherglen. (View Post)

Polls published in the last week are all showing a consistent trend in terms of a widening Labour lead compared to the same company's previous poll More in Common 19% lead (+8%) Deltapoll 19% (+… (View Post)

I suspect Warburton has gone now at the behest of Central Office so that the expected by-election losses can be got over with on the same day. I disagree with you on this not being a LD penalty kick,… (View Post)

In 1992, deposing a sitting Conservative PM was still a new party trick that heralded change. But in the last 13 years we've been through 5 PMs and the promises of a new start each time have wor… (View Post)