Somerton looks absolutely nailed on for the LDs. Unusually for a by-electon, it's a seat that the LDs held in the recent past - for 18 years until 2015 in fact. So the massive national anti-Tory… (View Post)

Given his dire ratings, I suspect that your candidate in Selby hardly welcomed Sunak's presence but felt that it would have been impolite to tell him to stay away. I note from the link you suppl… (View Post)

It looks very much like we're going to get a by-election in Tamworth either sooner or later. What's intriguing about this is that the sitting Walsall North MP has already jumped ship and ha… (View Post)

Terrible Blue Wall polling for the Tories, from the South of England. R&W 2nd July. The lowest Blue Wall voting share for the Conservatives since Sunak became PM. https://redfieldandwiltonstrateg… (View Post)

I think you're totally wrong in this case. Selby looks to me to be well set up for a result akin to the Mid Staffs by-election of 1990, when the Labour vote increased by 24% and the Conservative… (View Post)