Wulfrun_Phil
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Re: The polling gets tighter and tighter in Texas yet on Betfair Biden is still a 27% chance – political
I am glad that some are complaining about it, because it sounds like Drakeford's measures might just stand a chance of scaling back shopping interactions in major retail stores to a significant … (View Post)3 -
Re: The polling gets tighter and tighter in Texas yet on Betfair Biden is still a 27% chance – political
Unfortunately they were only asking people who bought Marmite how much they liked it. They didn't ask people who avoided Marmite how much they disliked it (and in this case the answer is that th… (View Post)1 -
Re: The polling gets tighter and tighter in Texas yet on Betfair Biden is still a 27% chance – political
Given the apparent ineffectiveness so far of the approach in England, I do agree with what the Welsh Government is doing. I suspect that much of the criticism on here is driven by people who don'… (View Post)5 -
Re: At the 2018 midterms, the last time US pollsters were tested in national elections, the Democrat mar
Yes. 538 have a nice model for that. If you take the basic model then hardwire in Biden taking Penn, Michigan and NE2 but not Wisconsin then Biden still has a 74% chance because he's got quite a… (View Post)1 -
Re: What makes the Texas battle intriguing is the historic polling understatement of the Democrats in th
A simpler explanation is that Trump is short of cash and can't afford to defend all of his 2016 gains. So he's having to go all in on one state with the little he has left. (View Post)1