To answer your question, for the same reason that a great number of people living in London have assets worth over a million. Namely, that house prices in London and its surrounds went up over his li… (View Post)

Your guess about corrections is correct. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-pollsters-have-changed-since-2016-and-what-still-worries-them-about-2020/ And yes there is a risk of over-correction… (View Post)

538 had a pretty good 2016. Like other forecasters they gave appropriate weight to state polling which turned out to be systemically wrong in the mid-Western states considered to be Clinton's firewal… (View Post)

Sunak is pitching his appeal to the 20% opposed to a circuit-breaker lockdown, not the 68% in favour. (View Post)

The West Midlands has also been in a different version of Tier 2 for almost a month. The difference for us is that from tomorrow people can't any longer mix indoors in hospitality venues, because the… (View Post)