In 2012 early voting stats for Nevada almost matched the result (in terms of the self-identified split between Dem and Rep). In 2016 they underestimated the Republicans share but only slightly - the … (View Post)

Even if all those extra voters have broken no more towards Biden than the polls at present suggest, it's still very good news for Biden. It greatly reduces Trump's ability to turn things arounds thro… (View Post)

Reading the header, anyone would think that Starmer's favourability ratings were on a par with Miliband's. They're anything but. It's also very strange timing for a header arguing that Starmer should… (View Post)

Those I know have done so already, because a long time ago she worked in Blair's office. (Admittedly, it's not a great look nowadays.) Actually changing peoples' lives for the better by achieving and… (View Post)

It's not worth arguing with him. There have been numerous responses debunking his superficial argument, plus one thread header a couple of days ago to the same effect, plus a recent analysis by 538 l… (View Post)