If we simply aggregate the votes cast in the two seats last night, the Conservatives still came out on top with 24,500+ votes, followed by the LDs and Lab. The Conservatives were the only party not t… (View Post)

There wasn't any scope for a tactical vote surge in Wakefield because it was mathematically impossible for there to be one of any significance. That's because the LDs scored a puny 3.9% of the vote i… (View Post)

Parliamentary by-election gains for Labour have been rare beasts. The last three have taken between them 25 years - Wirral South (1997), Corby (2012) and now Wakefield. It is a significant recovery a… (View Post)

No it hasn't because that binding together in the present context would require Russia to be an EU member. And in so far that the leaders of Germany etc have been happy to bind its economy to Russian… (View Post)

Why the apparent pessimism from OGH? A swing of the same magnitude as in N Shropshire (34%) would see the LDs home by a margin of 22%. The LDs also started there on 3rd, with a 10% vote share, and 53… (View Post)