Wulfrun_Phil
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Re: Pondering turnout – politicalbetting.com
Thanks for the thread Foxy, but I think the turnout is going to be much less than you think. For me the 57.5% to 62.5% range beckons, with the 60-62.5% range the most likely within that. A great numb… (View Post)1 -
Re: Timing is everything – politicalbetting.com
No indeed. In fact, it will be all over GB News and absolutely nowhere else. And that's rather the point, as it goes some way towards explaining those poll results. A couple of days back, the excelle… (View Post)1 -
Re: Some very sage advice on reacting to the MRPs – politicalbetting.com
https://www.politico.eu/article/nigel-farage-gets-donald-trump-job-offer-us-election-campaign/ "But Farage is also close to and has repeatedly praised Trump, who he interviewed for GB News in Ma… (View Post)1 -
Re: When assumptions go wrong – politicalbetting.com
There are multiple factors pointing to turnout falling substantially compared to 2019: 1997 was the last election when there was serious widespread dillusionment amongst Conservative voters. Measurin… (View Post)2 -
Re: When assumptions go wrong – politicalbetting.com
Yes, Sunak is anything but an asset to his party. In the latest R&W for example, the one with Labour 25% ahead on VI, Starmer is a net 38% ahead of Sunak on net approval. Starmer is even a net 23… (View Post)2