I blame, in roughly descending order of guilt: 1. Ed Miliband, for changing the system (as well as losing in 2015 in the first place and for pursuing timid policies in opposition which caused Labour … (View Post)

I think that's a fair point regarding the complications posed by tactical voting and other local nuances. I had much the same difficulty with my earlier seat modelling based on average swings amongst… (View Post)

Long Bailey is still very good value. Techniques of Kremlinology tell us that. She has been stuck on like a limpet to Corbyn's side and is given the honour of introducing the Great Leader at every ke… (View Post)

That's getting complicated. A simpler measure. £1 trillion = 10 HS2s this year If you want complication, it's 9 next year, 8 the year after... (View Post)

The biggest potential failing of internet polls could be that the sort of political obsessives that post here seem disproportionately represented in their panels. I'm with yougov, never bothered to s… (View Post)