The More in Common methodology: https://www.moreincommon.org.uk/general-election-2024/mrp/ "How does the model account for those who don't know how they will vote? When we ask people their votin… (View Post)

And remember that the most significant leasehold reform - the Right to Manage aka give the boot to the management company that's been fleecing you for years - came in under a Labour government. My in… (View Post)

On thread, one additional point regarding the likely LD seat total. Currently on GB wide polling, the LDs are at around 9%. There are 632 parliamentary seats up for grabs excluding NI. Winning 9% of … (View Post)

From the Electoral Calculus MRP study: "There is also confusion among voters about which parties are really likely to win their seat, especially given the new constituency boundaries. Slightly m… (View Post)

The notional 2019 result for Bicester and Woodstock is 53.4% Con, 26.5% LD, 17.1% Lab. I think it's worth looking at UNS in national opinion polls as a starting point. At the moment LDs are down near… (View Post)