Wulfrun_Phil

There are multiple factors pointing to turnout falling substantially compared to 2019: 1997 was the last election when there was serious widespread dillusionment amongst Conservative voters. Measurin… (View Post)

Yes, Sunak is anything but an asset to his party. In the latest R&W for example, the one with Labour 25% ahead on VI, Starmer is a net 38% ahead of Sunak on net approval. Starmer is even a net 23… (View Post)

The LDs can define as many targets as they wish as part of their ramping. But not that many of those seats feature on the Independent's tactical voting map, which is here. "Analysis by the Indep… (View Post)

You were no doubt influenced by the text of the suggested PB thread that I emailed to you in May 2023. Possibly a bit too technical, but the conclusion was spot on. Can I have my cut please? "EN… (View Post)

I see that, despite all sorts of unpredictable local factors, Labour is still 1/7 on in Leicester East. That doesn't look particularly good value to me, at least in so far as there are other seats wh… (View Post)