On the contrary, it is very clear that you're trying to face two ways at one, depending on which way suits you at the time. Perhaps that's why you won't commit to a specific position, not that I care… (View Post)

I note a correction in the second edition. If an empire is plastic, it won't snap. It'll just deform into a state from which it can never elastically recover to its former self. Snapping requires it … (View Post)

No, its not. I think it's more about how Sturgeon's attempt to provoke a constitutional crisis with the UK government has gone off at half cock because, while she clearly thinks that her own view is … (View Post)

There's a very clear R&W downward trend in Tory support since about April 2022 which has continued under Sunak. They have been losing about 1% per month. It was masked by the Truss implosion and … (View Post)

The value of looking at a data series from one pollster only is that, barring any change in methodology, the trend can be read independently of any house effects, whether it is a Tory or Labour lean.… (View Post)