On thread, one additional point regarding the likely LD seat total. Currently on GB wide polling, the LDs are at around 9%. There are 632 parliamentary seats up for grabs excluding NI. Winning 9% of … (View Post)

From the Electoral Calculus MRP study: "There is also confusion among voters about which parties are really likely to win their seat, especially given the new constituency boundaries. Slightly m… (View Post)

The notional 2019 result for Bicester and Woodstock is 53.4% Con, 26.5% LD, 17.1% Lab. I think it's worth looking at UNS in national opinion polls as a starting point. At the moment LDs are down near… (View Post)

Spare a thought for the Treasurer of Newcastle-Upon-Lyme Conservative Party. Paying for all those election leaflets already being printed, paid for deliveries (Royal Mail need to be paid 2+ weeks in … (View Post)

May I wish Aaron Bell/Tissue Price all the best in his new career. Despite our politics being different, he always came across as a decent person, very different from the likes of Braverman, Rees-Mog… (View Post)