Fully agree, except that there was nothing "potential" about it. (View Post)

The vote in the GE in these seats was Con 50% (so currently down 18%), Lab 21% (currently up 13%), LD 27% (currently down 3%). Net Con to Lab swing 15%, Con to LD swing 7%). Even without tactical vot… (View Post)

The important figure in these seats is the Conservative share. Down 18% on the 50% they got at the GE. That's because half of those seats are LD targets, half are Lab targets. In very few of those se… (View Post)

+ Fortunes of War + A Very British Coup (View Post)

The comparison that matters is with the situation at GE 2019. In contrast to 2019, LD supporters will no longer be put off voting for a Labour Party in the grip of Corbyn's far left extremists. And w… (View Post)