We're a full two weeks into August and yet unless I've missed something we've still had just one GB VI poll for which fieldwork took place entirely within the current month. (View Post)

Yes I agree Mike. Kamala Harris was impressive, much more so than I expected. (View Post)

..... yet. And if you're right and Johnson's big swing was mainly the result of him facing a duffer, it follows that things can be expected to go into reverse once the duffer's been re… (View Post)

The seats in question are mainly the "Red Wall" gained by the Conservatives in December 2019. In the Opinium sample of 2019 Con gain seats only, the respondents voted 65% to Leave and 35% t… (View Post)

By pursuing this story, which has some legs yet, Starmer: 1. Labels Johnson as weak on national security and feeds the them of a Conservative Party compromised by its links to Russian oligarchs. 2. S… (View Post)