I think that is becoming the new normal, to be honest. A year ago I had to take a whole day out driving my wife to Newport in South Wales and back because my wife left it until there were only 10 wee… (View Post)

Fully agree, except that there was nothing "potential" about it. (View Post)

The vote in the GE in these seats was Con 50% (so currently down 18%), Lab 21% (currently up 13%), LD 27% (currently down 3%). Net Con to Lab swing 15%, Con to LD swing 7%). Even without tactical vot… (View Post)

The important figure in these seats is the Conservative share. Down 18% on the 50% they got at the GE. That's because half of those seats are LD targets, half are Lab targets. In very few of those se… (View Post)

+ Fortunes of War + A Very British Coup (View Post)