This represents that actual polling gap on election day for the gazillions of votes already having been cast in swing states. Also, if either campaign had an October surprise card up their sleeve, th… (View Post)

Yes I agree. In fact, all he had to do was resign from the Shadow Cabinet over Harman's failure to vote against the welfare bill, and he would have been home. Instead he left a gap in the left f… (View Post)

FPT You cite North Carolina but the figures on early voting so far don't back up your assertions. In 2016, the Democrats won early voting there by 78k (winning by 84k in-person, losing by 6k for… (View Post)

Yes, the Greens have repeatedly been squeezed by Labour in the months leading up to recent GEs, so that's a reasonable assumption. In 2019 that was masked by the Tories' squeezing of the mu… (View Post)

They will if they works. Or are you so confident in Johnson's measures that you don't think it's even worth trying something different for a few weeks? Re your example. I suggest that,… (View Post)