Johnson claimed at the end of his speech that the measures he was announcing were not as severe as those that applied in March and April, but despite schools going back to be honest I think he's… (View Post)

Polling companies should not be judged on the final polls taken on the eve of November 3rd, because most votes will have been cast in the month prior to that. (View Post)

There are three sorts of polling companies in the US. Those associated with the Republicans, those associated with the Democrats, and the majority who fall into neither camp. The Republican pollsters… (View Post)

On that YouGov model, applying a uniform swing, Biden needs to win the popular vote by no more than 2.1% to win the electoral college (by gaining WI, MI and PE). YouGov have Biden 8.5% ahead in the p… (View Post)

Starmer ought to put out a virtually identical copy of that ad just with a Labour logo in the right hand bottom corner. The Brexit Party would sue, Labour would settle, there would be quite a bit of … (View Post)