On 30th May Opinium had the Tories on 17%. By 12th December they had recovered to 45%. One of the party leaders changed in the interim, and it wasn't Corbyn. Pure luck? I don't like Johnson any more … (View Post)

The political vocabulary around Scottish secession is looking pretty outdated now. By the end of 2020, Scots will be living in a fully independent country as will the English, Welsh and N Irish. (View Post)

Given the resources that YouGov put in to their polling, I'm surprised that their final polling ended earlier than most other companies. They have been a bit vague about the effective dates of their … (View Post)

More definitive evidence that the Brexit Party cost the Tories seats at the GE. About 20 in fact, the consequence of which is that Johnson was denied a 3 figure majority. https://www.thetimes.co.uk/a… (View Post)

Hats off to OGH for this thread back on July 2nd when Long-Bailey was at about 9/1. http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2019/07/02/corbyns-protegee-rebecca-long-bailey-now-betting-fav… (View Post)