Anything but. If an 11% vote share lead can only generate a 68 seat majority, when 2 other of the most recent polls already have the lead down to 7%, then it suggests that the election is on a knife … (View Post)

There is indeed a bit of a difference between a gap of a few billion and one of a few hundred billion (at least). The uncosted WASPI women pledge alone must amount to 10 times the scale of any gap in… (View Post)

I blame, in roughly descending order of guilt: 1. Ed Miliband, for changing the system (as well as losing in 2015 in the first place and for pursuing timid policies in opposition which caused Labour … (View Post)

I think that's a fair point regarding the complications posed by tactical voting and other local nuances. I had much the same difficulty with my earlier seat modelling based on average swings am… (View Post)

Long Bailey is still very good value. Techniques of Kremlinology tell us that. She has been stuck on like a limpet to Corbyn's side and is given the honour of introducing the Great Leader at eve… (View Post)