Good for you for sticking to your guns on this. Personally I don't have the time and inclination to enter into prolonged debate lasting days with the cacophany of contrary voices on here, but I'm gra… (View Post)

I disagree with the thread. Change just one word in the conclusion and you get this: "And if the 538 model is over-estimating the extremes, flattening the distribution so much, it must be under-… (View Post)

This is well worth a read. His comments on Trump are in my view absolutely spot on, although the overblown attempt to draw parallels with the UK risks undermining an otherwise sound argument. https:/… (View Post)

If even the Daily Express feels it necessary to report on Johnson's PMQ efforts in these damining terms, he really is in political trouble. https://www.express.co.uk/comment/expresscomment/1330470/pr… (View Post)

Trump has as much respect for democracy as a South American dictator. Yes there are constraints under the US constitution but that merely serves to limit what he can put into effect, not what wants t… (View Post)