Those I know have done so already, because a long time ago she worked in Blair's office. (Admittedly, it's not a great look nowadays.) Actually changing peoples' lives for the better by achieving and… (View Post)

It's not worth arguing with him. There have been numerous responses debunking his superficial argument, plus one thread header a couple of days ago to the same effect, plus a recent analysis by 538 l… (View Post)

To answer your question, for the same reason that a great number of people living in London have assets worth over a million. Namely, that house prices in London and its surrounds went up over his li… (View Post)

Your guess about corrections is correct. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-pollsters-have-changed-since-2016-and-what-still-worries-them-about-2020/ And yes there is a risk of over-correction… (View Post)

538 had a pretty good 2016. Like other forecasters they gave appropriate weight to state polling which turned out to be systemically wrong in the mid-Western states considered to be Clinton's firewal… (View Post)