That's understating it. All but 1 of those 10 polls in the average he is choosing to quote used fieldwork from before Biden pulled out. Fieldwork back to 5th July in fact. (View Post)

I've just been watching the live stream of Harris's first campaign rally on ABC. A pretty impressive performance by Harris all around. Spoke well. Defined her own positions v those of Trump very clea… (View Post)

That understates the change. With IPSOS we've gone from Trump 2% ahead v Biden (July 15th-16th) to Harris 2% ahead v Trump (July 22nd). So much for a Republican convention bounce. (View Post)

The latter is hopefully an apt analogy. Ohio was a US built ship. Trump is every bit a latter day Mussolini, let's hope his bombers are just as crap. The rescue efforts were led by HMS Penn, a ship n… (View Post)

So far the only national poll conducted in the immediate aftermath of Biden dropping out is that by Morning Consult. They wrote it up as follows: "Former President Donald Trump leads Harris by 2… (View Post)