Sunak is presumably not that bothered on the grounds that the the country's largest cinema and bookshop chains are no longer "viable" businesses and can be left to go to the wall. Decisions… (View Post)

Indeed. Reasoning: A month ago 538 had Biden with a 69% chance. Now he's up to 80%, his highest yet (a +11% increase, compared to the +13% increase in Betfair over the period.) However, very few of t… (View Post)

It's a golfing term meaning avoiding taking on a very difficult shot in order to avoid the risk of a disasterous outcome that could destroy your round. i.e. instead of attempting to hit a 200 yard sh… (View Post)

Why not? Sampling took place on the day and the day after Sunak announced what initially was a reasonably well-received package of support for jobs extending beyond the end of October, before it had … (View Post)

On leader approval ratings, Starmer already has a 31% net lead over Johnson (+19% v -12%). 40% doesn't seem that far away at all. And as OGH has often claimed, dating back at least to the time when M… (View Post)