Wulfrun_Phil
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Re: When assumptions go wrong – politicalbetting.com
Yes, Sunak is anything but an asset to his party. In the latest R&W for example, the one with Labour 25% ahead on VI, Starmer is a net 38% ahead of Sunak on net approval. Starmer is even a net 23… (View Post)2 -
Re: When assumptions go wrong – politicalbetting.com
The LDs can define as many targets as they wish as part of their ramping. But not that many of those seats feature on the Independent's tactical voting map, which is here. "Analysis by the Indep… (View Post)1 -
Re: The War at Home: Labour Defences (Part Two) – politicalbetting.com
You were no doubt influenced by the text of the suggested PB thread that I emailed to you in May 2023. Possibly a bit too technical, but the conclusion was spot on. Can I have my cut please? "EN… (View Post)3 -
Re: The War at Home: Labour Defences (Part Two) – politicalbetting.com
I see that, despite all sorts of unpredictable local factors, Labour is still 1/7 on in Leicester East. That doesn't look particularly good value to me, at least in so far as there are other seats wh… (View Post)3 -
Re: The War at Home: Labour Defences (Part One) – politicalbetting.com
No, the two constituencies are very different, the Muslim population doesn't dominate Yardley in the way it does Ladywood. I don't think there is any threat to Jess Phillips and I would take even mon… (View Post)1