Let's say you also grew up in poverty on a council estate, as a child looking after your mother who had bipolar disorder and couldn't read, and ended up by leaving school at 16 to raise a c… (View Post)

Outrage over Angela Rayner’s drinking at Westminster bar highlights hypocrisy in public life Boris or Farage are ‘men of the people’ when seen with pint in hand. For the Labour leadership hopeful, it… (View Post)

On Thread. I share TSE's scepticism as expressed earlier in the thread. These stories are clearly coming from the Burnham camp, with absolutely no cooroberating evidence. "Story" is an… (View Post)

I did allow for that, I said above that each probability is in my view conditional on the preceeding one. We can disagree on whether the probabilities are correct. (View Post)

On 1, I'm aware of what the betting markets are saying about the likelihood of Starmer holding on this year, but like you I think they are wrong, just in the opposite direction. On 2, remember t… (View Post)