I suspect Warburton has gone now at the behest of Central Office so that the expected by-election losses can be got over with on the same day. I disagree with you on this not being a LD penalty kick,… (View Post)

In 1992, deposing a sitting Conservative PM was still a new party trick that heralded change. But in the last 13 years we've been through 5 PMs and the promises of a new start each time have worn ver… (View Post)

The current 61 is a bit of an underestimate because it doesn't include those who have been deselected but who are still keeping their options open. The timing is also relevant - taking the last full … (View Post)

Nah, the last 7 days have been relatively quiet on the sinking ship front. In those 7 days we've only had 4 Conservative incumbents announcing that they're standing down from their current seat eithe… (View Post)

You are literally making it up. Labour's average polling lead is not circa 12%, as you suggest. Taking all 5 polls with fieldwork ending within the last 7 days, the average lead is 16.0%. Include the… (View Post)