It was the 2015 migration crisis that was the key, I would say. Before that the EU was still* near the bottom of most voters' priorities, even after all this Eastern European migration and 20 ye… (View Post)

Exactly. It was almost immediately after the referendum that May precisely ruled this out, purely to appease the ERG and keep her job. (View Post)

As long as the narrative continues about Tory decadence, not foreign wars or Labour splits, I think Labour will probably win. Starmer just has to continue looking like the living embodiment of the ab… (View Post)

Indeed. As discussed on almost endless occasions chez PB, the underlying problem was Tory splits and incoherence, and May's continual elevation of the most extreme ERG elements into setting nati… (View Post)

Yes, I think there's a general acceptance we won't be any time soon. What Starmer didn't say, ofcourse, is that he'd ruled out closer relations, rejoining the SM, or any moves lik… (View Post)