Verulamius

Impact of yougov methodology change https://yougov.co.uk/politics/articles/49614-using-mrp-for-our-voting-intention-polling 1 Constituency question: We drive the MRP off a question asking people how … (View Post)

There is a difference between tactical voting based on where each party came in 2019, adjusted for new boundaries, and that based on current 2024 voting. Labour does better in the latter scenario whi… (View Post)

Electoral Calculus have an article https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/blogs/ec_tactical_20240531.html looking at the tactical vote situation. In England, we discovered that Reform voters were the le… (View Post)

Lord Ashcroft's focus group in Scotland has just been released looking at SNP and Conservative 2019 voters. https://lordashcroftpolls.com/2024/05/theyre-not-a-family-anymore-theyre-not-afraid-of-caus… (View Post)

Have we covered Deltapoll 🚨New Voting Intention🚨 Labour lead by twenty-two points in our poll for the Mail on Sunday. Con 23% (-) Lab 45% (-) Lib Dem 9% (-1) Reform 10% (-2) SNP 3% (-) Green 6% (+1) … (View Post)