TimT
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Re: It’s a 12.5% betting chance that Putin will be out by May 1st – politicalbetting.com
You are probably right, but I think a NATO response would become more likely if Russia used CW on a massive scale. FWIW, Russia is a party to the CWC, and destroyed its former CW stockpile under the … (View Post)2 -
Re: What to do with a cornered rat. – politicalbetting.com
Maybe the fallout radiation will kill off COVID? c.f. The Great Fire of London and the plague (View Post)1 -
Re: What to do with a cornered rat. – politicalbetting.com
It is actually 0.0027, or 0.27%. You forgot to multiply by 100 to get to %. Now, of course, you will post an entirely different point to avoid this inconvenient fact. (View Post)1 -
Re: What to do with a cornered rat. – politicalbetting.com
The death rate is not calculated that way. If you're looking at today's death rate, the denominator is new cases about 2 weeks ago, not new cases today. (View Post)1 -
Re: What to do with a cornered rat. – politicalbetting.com
That holds in general but NOT for COVID. For it to hold true, the high IFR has to adversely impact transmission. But SAR-CoV-2 is transmitted before serious morbidity and mortality sets in, so there … (View Post)2