My reaction to that poll is somewhat different. People are chronically bad at estimating things, especially in terms of %. They are considerably less bad at estimating common things than rare things.… (View Post)

I must admit, the maximal Russian action I foresaw was a push to take the entire Donbass. But this - never. And, to my shame, I really doubted the Ukrainians could do what they have done. Let's hope … (View Post)

That is perhaps the most extraordinary change in my lifetime to date: in 1980, knowledge was a scarce and valuable asset; now it is a commodity freely(-ish) available to everyone with a smart phone. … (View Post)

We talking Putin or HYUFD here? I am losing track... (View Post)

And it was the time of CND, and the government worrying about keeping public opinion on board with retaining our NW capability, let alone launching it. (View Post)