TimT

And a Kyiv pure and simple strategy would not have required the effort in Mariupol, nor the stalled push to Odesa with the marines sitting cooped up in landing ships for a couple of weeks. (View Post)

Thanks. We (and I use 'we' appropriately as I was intimately involved) had the same experience with Saddam. Some key of our key assessments about his thinking on WMD post 1991 turned out to miss the … (View Post)

LOL. Or unless you really can't give a shit about the Royal Family one way or the other. PS Cue HYUFD telling me I can never be a Tory. (View Post)

I think you are vastly overestimating Russia's capacity to regroup, replace and resupply its mortally damaged elite units. (View Post)

But my point is that, even if the other party is not sane, unilateral disarmament and foregoing of MAD is still a worse option than sticking with MAD. Game theory does not provide perfect solutions, … (View Post)