A push to the Dnipro at the Antonovskiy Bridge and then pushing eastwards along the north side of the river to the dam in order to create a big gap between Kherson and the Russian troops to the east … (View Post)

AND. Two of the things tyrants do: 1. Make their inner circle complicit in their own crimes 2. Make their downfall the downfall of the inner circle (View Post)

The end is the defence of the western democratic, human rights, liberal economics ideal in a rules-based world, and defending it at the first, not last domino. That is a defensive posture; NATO is no… (View Post)

Yes. There is a good thread on twitter (Lawrence Freedman IIRC), on why 'proxy war' is an inappropriate term for Ukraine (or Afganistan against the Russians, or Viet Nam) as it implies the … (View Post)

The thing that most worries me about the Ukraine situation is how Putin will react if his armies in Ukraine suffer a sudden, almost complete collapse. I don't think this is certain to happen, bu… (View Post)