LOLs, not sure that is subtle enough to qualify as a 'nudge' For those interested, here is a link to the decision-making model for decision-making method use in civil aviation, that I found online:… (View Post)

Yes, if I am advising a research institution, a hospital system or a laboratory system on creating a risk management system, you systematically model all planned operations with process flow maps, cr… (View Post)

FPT: TimT Posts: 4,808 8:04AM Philip_Thompson said: » show previous quotes But that's not common sense. Yes you may want to highlight the detail of the worst case but you can't "forget about&quo… (View Post)

Nelson is right, to the extent that decision-makers do need to know that there is one or more scenarios that requires no action. But beyond that, Medley is right. Those scenarios contain no additiona… (View Post)

Confidence intervals are useless when you tell me with 95% confidence that the result is somewhere between 0 and infinity. (View Post)