TimT
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Re: That way madness lies – politicalbetting.com
Rasmussen in 2022 had an average 5.1% error, 100% in favour of the GOP. InsiderAdvantage and Trafalgar are also highly suspect. There are also others. The polls published often have a sample size of … (View Post)1 -
Re: That way madness lies – politicalbetting.com
FPT in response to LostPassword commenting on rcs2000 I agree. And it, at least in the Harris direction, might go even bigger if there is systematic error in Trump’s favour. I saw some internal GOP p… (View Post)1 -
Re: That way madness lies – politicalbetting.com
But accidents are only a subset of unintended, which also includes negligence, which I would not equate with accident. (View Post)1 -
Re: The fundamentals and history still favour Trump and punters agree – politicalbetting.com
A small victory for Raffensberger, Harris, and democracy: https://www.npr.org/2024/10/15/nx-s1-5144185/georgia-election-certification-rules (View Post)1 -
Re: The fundamentals and history still favour Trump and punters agree – politicalbetting.com
Posted in the previous thread just as it died, of course. My gut is that the polls are overstating Trump. I think they have overcorrected for the errors of the last election - there are no shy Trump … (View Post)1