TheWhiteRabbit
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Re: The Tories move to a 62% chance in the Hartlepool betting after a seat poll from Survation has the T
Re Hartlepool, it is pretty obvious people are self-stratifying and re-imagining (I would say perhaps "retconning") their 2019 vote to a significant degree. Anyone who recalls the difficult… (View Post)4 -
Re: Papers, please – politicalbetting.com
As discussed on the previous thread, I think this is all nudge. There is only a very narrow band, in my view, when it is safe to open, say, restaurants or pubs, on a passport basis but not fully. Thi… (View Post)1 -
Re: Vaccine passports – the first major political divide in the fight against COVID? – politicalbetting.
It looks as if once everyone has been offered the jab, 90%+ of adults will have had it. Do we really need vaccine passports in that case? Or do you think it will be a lot lower than 90%? (View Post)1 -
Re: What happened when I switched the CON and LAB GE2019 vote shares on the Electoral Calculus seat pred
I had a bit of a revelation when I realised some people have a much clearer mind's eye than others (aphantasia). It always baffled me when artists or particularly sculptors said that the picture… (View Post)2 -
Re: What happened when I switched the CON and LAB GE2019 vote shares on the Electoral Calculus seat pred
If you look at the 2005 and 2010 results, you would conclude that to win a majority, Labour would need Nuneaton. Currently held by the Conservatives on a 29% majority. (View Post)1
