In short, the money markets think it is ~80% likely that Russia will default on foreign debt, the majority of that risk in the next year. That is however only USD and GBP-denominated debts. Plenty of… (View Post)

Ukraine wouldn't be allowed a military, nor a military alliance? What sort of "compromise" is that? You might as well set a timer for the Second Russian-Ukraine war. (View Post)

Not sure I really understand. We're in a defence partnership with France as well as NATO, isn't there someone they can call? (View Post)

My problem with betting on it is I have much more fun taking it as a big, surreal piece of art, not a serious endeavour. (View Post)

Yes indeed! Although maybe you should still try to convince RT. (View Post)