It's 36 MPs now, as the trigger is 30% of MPs. (View Post)

From last night's focus group I am told the general consensus is that 1) The Tories won't be in power to enact the policy 2) If it is so popular why didn't they do it in the last fourteen years 3) It… (View Post)

The reality for Kemi is that her announcement yesterday won't stop the Tories getting smashed next May and then she's a gonner. I am not changing my betting strategy. (View Post)

The difference was there was going to be a general election within a few weeks. Remember at the time a Labour MP wrote 'Shortly there will be an election, in which Labour will increase its majority' … (View Post)

The reason I thought Trump would win in 2024 was he led on the economy, Reform don't hold that advantage. (View Post)