I'm too knackered but I might be tempted at very small bets with the Senate R majority. NV is probably slight Laxalt. I saw Lake was winning 70-30 on the ED vote in Maricopa but have no idea what the… (View Post)

Depends on your view Looking at the map, you would say Ds because the votes are concentrated in Maricopa and more D leaning counties. However, in 2020, Trump was actually gaining ground on Biden towa… (View Post)

FYI, for those betting on Nevada, potentially important: https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1590413484595945472 (View Post)

Still looks incredibly tight in Nevada. There are a few thousand at least rural votes out there and Laxalt still leads in Washoe. One small caveat for Kelly (who I think wins). In 2020, when Fox call… (View Post)

The big difference between the two is the Black vote which is core for the Democrats. It was said when Pete B ran for the nomination, his big problem was whether that constituency would vote for him.… (View Post)