Voters don’t care about identity – politicalbetting.comAnother election, another failure for the Democratic party. Donald Trump is president elect and the whole world is crossing its fingers that we’… (View Post)

The (lack of) incumbency bonus – politicalbetting.comJust to clarify: this isn’t just the first time since WW2 that all incumbent parties in developed countries lost vote share.It’s the first time si… (View Post)

Cat meet pigeons – politicalbetting.comSeltzer poll: Harris 47, Trump 44 in Iowa https://t.co/ly7ERGpvEB Read the full story here (View Post)

A blast from the past – politicalbetting.com10 years ago this month: 48% of Britons thought UKIP would still be an important force in British politics by now, while the Lib Dems would have faded away… (View Post)

The Butterfly Effect – Bush vs. Gore revisited – politicalbetting.comThe year 2000 is perhaps best remembered in the UK for the Millenium Dome, the fuel protests and Y2K. For the US, it would be thei… (View Post)