No leads Yes by 33% in new independence poll – politicalbetting.comAlthough Welsh people tend to expect a Plaid Cymru government to focus on independence, just 22% of Welsh people say they would vote… (View Post)

Tears for Keir next Friday? – politicalbetting.comAngela Rayner is weighing up mounting a direct challenge to Sir Keir Starmer’s leadership after next week’s local elections, as supporters of the for… (View Post)

Why the mainstream parties will be swept aside next week – politicalbetting.comOn a recent thread a very valid question was asked. These voters who the polls and betting markets suggest will vote Ref… (View Post)

A 5% return in just over a week? (and potentially 40% in over a week?) – politicalbetting.comThis markets from Ladbrokes in my humble opinion represents a decent return in a short space of time. Whil… (View Post)

Brexit Effect: Summary and conclusions – politicalbetting.comThis is the final article in a series analysing the oft-cited NBER paper, which estimates that Brexit reduced the UK’s GDP by 6-8%, usuall… (View Post)