And without knowing which voters where, the consequences of that churn are impossible to calculate. MRP tries to do that, but it only works if its assumptions are correctly calibrated. In the meantim… (View Post)

Only one self-indulgent placeholder before the Conservatives choose someone who looks like a PM-in-waiting? That's optimistic. (View Post)

If that is the plan, the execution leaves a fair bit to be desired. Kemi is a fighter, and she is fighting. It's just her choice of battlefields (RefUK membership figures, GB News presenter choi… (View Post)

I think I've mentioned this before, but my street consists of retired factory foremen who bought in the 80s, middle-aged teachers who bought in the noughties and young city types who have bought… (View Post)

Meanwhile, New from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social Who would make the better PM? Kemi Badenoch 16% Nigel Farage 23% https://bsky.app/profile/keiranpedley.bsky.social/post/3lejg6hrb2k2s And whisper it, how… (View Post)