How much are elections about voting for the thing we like and are enthusiastic about, and how much are they about voting against the thing we dislike, hate or fear? I suspect that there's a lot more … (View Post)
17-18% is the ballpark swing we are seeing at the moment. And whilst there ought, surely, to be some swingback towards the government, we've all been saying that for a year or so and there's no sign … (View Post)
Notional for his redrawn seat (North East Somerset and Hanham) Con 31435 Lab 15046 Lib 8625 https://electionresults.parliament.uk/elections/2472 A 15% swing does it, even without any tactical squeeze… (View Post)
Though the key bit of the story is more will Sunak do worse than Major? (Not quite the same thing, because of changes in places like North Britain. But in the vast majority of constituencies, the ele… (View Post)
Is that the sound of someone belatedly checking the cards they actually hold? I can understand the Greens being seriously narked, but they can't actually want an election, can they? (View Post)