Possibly the significance of this poll isn't what it tells us about the state of play, but more how it frames the story. "Can't win here" will be the kiss of death. (View Post)

Doubt it. Looks like a reasonably accurate linear scale, with zero where it should be. Bloody amateurs. (Bit harsh to leave the Conservatives off, though the tactical considerations are sound.) (View Post)

The central mystery though... What happens in middle England? The boring suburbs, the sort-of OK small commuter towns? Provincial, but without the chip on the shoulder? At the moment, nobody is reall… (View Post)

The real problem is that a non-trivial number of Conservatives would quite like Reform to eat up the Conservative Party. They look at what happened in Canada and see that as a good thing. (View Post)

It's horrible, difficult, and creates all sorts of problems when you try and run an organisation or country that way ("trespassers will be forgiven", as the Franciscan farm sign says).… (View Post)