True across the board. There have been some brilliant bits of knocking copy by the Conservatives. And I have to admire the Lib Dem who came up with "all this... and they still expect you to vote… (View Post)

MRP won't pick up that local "can't win here" dynamic. If the anti-Reform vote is efficient, there's a limit to how far NF will get. (See also, the General Election exit poll). (View Post)

I think it was Lots Ashcroft who pointed out that a decisive chunk of the reason that the referendum went the way it did was the slice of voters who parsed the question as "are you happy with ho… (View Post)

Thing is, Boring Old Starmer is right, but he's not really talking to you this time. When you are starting out in life, with new jobs/houses/financial arrangements, you have to prove your identity a … (View Post)

That works well in Scotland, Wales and anywhere the Lib Dems are relevant. The much harder questions are about what happens when Labour are the only plausible vehicle to stop Reform? Or the Conservat… (View Post)