See the apparent fizzling out of the "Dump Rishi after the locals" plot. It's not based on the results even being slightly OK. That includes Houchen; his swing was better than many others, … (View Post)
Lest we forget what campaign sources were saying at this stage in 2021; I can’t believe I’m writing this. But Tory sources say Shaun Bailey’s campaign now believe they can win the London mayoralty. h… (View Post)
They never do. Mostly because a lot of the minor parties will have their vote squeezed back to one of the big two for the general. Based on history, a 9% PNV lead for Labour is probably high teens in… (View Post)
Not totally implausible. There were 13 London by elections yesterday, and... The point here is - it looks like, overall, council voting in London looks very similar to the 2022 Locals, when Labour wo… (View Post)