Some admirable working-showing from More In Common; Starting as we mean to go on: Here's how our adjustments are changing VI in this poll. As a reminder, we reallocate 'don't knows' using a follow-up… (View Post)
Nobody is grateful if you solve a problem in advance. In part that's because there's no emotional hook to hang the memory of the solved problem on. The evil, but politically astute, thing to do would… (View Post)
The other one is Rwanda, where the government had finally got to the point where it could put people on a plane without their consent. The moment they did that, the thing falls apart because the capa… (View Post)
And the voters aren't silly to do so. Fate has a habit of looking at manifesto plans and laughing at them. Maybe we are right to just look at the candidates and think "which one looks like they … (View Post)
Difference between "ought to win" and "(currently) on track to win". If you have a certain view of politics, then a leading candidate ought to say things that are of moment, ought… (View Post)