Because, for all the hype, Reform is a lot more about right-wing ex-Conservatives than anything else. Exhibit N in a long series: The new leader of Lancashire County Council will be Reform UK's counc… (View Post)

Here's the graph you need; https://bsky.app/profile/profjanegreen.bsky.social/post/3lonqdzu4u22m A few voters have gone Lab-Ref over the years, but the main flow that matters is UKIP - Con - Ref. (View Post)

If they do, it would be pretty conclusive proof that RefUK is a Bialystock and Bloom production. Deets of that Ipsos poll are: 34% say that former PM Liz Truss defecting to Reform would make them vie… (View Post)

They won't. First rule of politics is that the voters are right, even when they are calamitously, comically wrong. See: the public understanding of what government spends money on, massively overesti… (View Post)

How safe is safe enough? After a quick scroll through this list; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_Kingdom_Conservative_MPs_(2024%E2%80%93present) I think there is exactly one seat (Harrow… (View Post)